The Foresight Project

Submitted by Mark P. Weitzenkamp on
We are recruiting college students to participate as forecasters in The Foresight Project, a tournament designed to understand tournament design and the factors that make people more accurate. If you are a politically-engaged student who wants to become a better forecaster, you should find this project interesting and fun! The skills gained could be very helpful if you are thinking about a career in the intelligence community, the economic sector, or public policy.
 
We are recruiting for the first of three tournaments (2016-2017), starting on October 25th and lasting for about 8 months. Participants will:
  • Complete a 45-minute battery of political and psychological tests to predict forecasting accuracy.
  • Take a 10 min training module about forecasting accuracy.
  • Make predictions about questions throughout the year whenever you wish! We will post a few questions online each week, for example, "Will Donald Trump win the 2016 US Presidential Election?" Select at least 30 questions and update them until the question closes.
  • Get regular feedback.
Each year
  • The top 10% of forecasters will be featured on the Foresight Leaderboard.
  • The top 2% of participants will each be awarded a $500 Amazon gift card (roughly 50 people).
  • The top 2% of participants will be featured in The Washington Post, Monkey Cage.
  • 100 other people will have a chance to win a $50 Amazon gift card (with more accurate forecasters having better chances of winning).
  • 200 other people will have a chance to win a $25 Amazon gift card.
If you are interested, please go to  http://www.foresightproj.com
Don’t sign up if you have already participated in GJP or GJ Open. 
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